A Bridge on Economic Issues between China and the World
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Migration and Resource Misallocation in China
Xiaolu Li, Lin Ma, Yang Tang, Oct 23, 2024This article discusses how reducing frictions across Chinese provinces could significantly improve aggregate output, lower spatial inequality, and discourage population concentration in large cities.
Free Education's Impact on Schooling Outcomes: Direct Effects and Intra-household Spillovers
Naijia Guo, Shuangxin Wang, Junsen Zhang, Mar 05, 2025This study estimates the direct and spillover effects of a free education program on educational outcomes in rural China. We find that although the program encourages more eligible children to attend secondary school, it also leads to a decrease in high school enrollment among ineligible girls with eligible siblings, as they are more likely to choose work instead. In the long run, males exposed to free education have more years of schooling than their non-exposed counterparts. However, such effect is not found among females. This disparity suggests that a gender-neutral policy may have an asymmetric effect between males and females because of spillover effects through intra-household resource allocation.
Drive Down the Cost: Learning by Doing and Government Policies in the Global EV Battery Industry
Panle Jia Barwick, Hyuk-soo Kwon, Shanjun Li, Nahim Bin Zahur, Apr 16, 2025Electric vehicle (EV) battery costs have fallen over 90% in the last decade. This study examines how learning-by-doing (LBD) drives this decline and interacts with government policies such as consumer EV subsidies and local content requirements. Leveraging rich data on EV models and battery suppliers from 13 countries with largest EV sales that account for 95% of global EV sales, we develop a structural model of the EV industry that incorporates consumer choices and pricing strategies by EV producers and battery suppliers....
Beyond the Fundamentals: How Media-Driven Narratives Influence Cross-Border Capital Flows
Isha Agarwal, Wentong Chen, Eswar Prasad, Apr 02, 2025We provide the first empirical evidence on how media-driven narratives influence cross-border institutional investment flows. Applying natural language processing techniques to 1.5 million newspaper articles, we document substantial cross-country variation in sentiment and risk indices constructed from domestic media narratives about China in 15 countries. These narratives significantly affect portfolio flows, even after controlling for macroeconomic and financial fundamentals. This impact is smaller for investors with greater familiarity or private information about China and larger during periods of heightened uncertainty. Political and environmental narratives are as influential as economic narratives. Investors react more sharply to negative narratives than positive ones.
Firm-to-Firm Referrals
Jing Cai, Wei Lin, Adam Szeidl, Dec 25, 2024Referring suppliers to clients reshaped the supplier-client network and improved business performance.
