A Bridge on Economic Issues between China and the World
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Firm-to-Firm Referrals
Jing Cai, Wei Lin, Adam Szeidl, Dec 25, 2024Referring suppliers to clients reshaped the supplier-client network and improved business performance.
Banking and Banking Reforms in China in a Model of Costly State Verification
Jie Luo, Cheng Wang, Mar 26, 2025We present a macro view of China’s financial system, in which a monopolistic banking sector coexists endogenously with bonds and private loans. In equilibrium smaller firms raise finance from private lending, larger firms do so through bank loans, and the largest firms do so by issuing bonds. The model predicts that expanding credit supply increases bank loans but reduces bond finance and private lending, in absolute terms and relative to total credit. In addition, removing the interest rate ceiling on bank lending—a recent reform in China—induces larger loans and higher lending rates, lowering the share of bank loans in total credit. We present empirical evidence to support these predictions.
Building Tall, Falling Short: An Empirical Assessment of Chinese Skyscrapers
Ziyang Chen, Ting Chen, Yatang Lin, Jin Wang, Jun 04, 2025Amid debates around state-led urbanization in developing countries, we analyze the causes and consequences of China’s skyscraper boom. We find that local governments often subsidize these projects through discounted land prices, motivated by political incentives. However, we find that such subsidies offer minimal long-term benefits, largely due to a mismatch with local conditions.
Industrial Policy and Retaliatory Protection under the WTO:Lessons from China
Yusheng Feng, Haishi Li, Siwei Wang, Min Zhu, Aug 13, 2025Industrial policy is increasingly implemented worldwide, with many policymakers and researchers highlighting its benefits (Juhász et al. 2024). However, the cost of industrial policy remains less understood. Using Chinese firm-level data, we show that higher industrial subsidies raise the likelihood and severity of foreign anti-dumping and countervailing duties at each investigation stage (Feng et al. 2025). These retaliatory tariffs wipe out roughly a quarter of the firm revenue growth the subsidies would otherwise create. Neglecting this channel may lead governments to overstate the net benefits of industrial policy and fuels deeper trade frictions and geoeconomic fragmentation.
Place Prosperity vs People Prosperity: Migration and the Intergenerational Transmission of Knowledge
Carol H. Shiue, Wolfgang Keller, Apr 23, 2025The trajectory of an economy's development can often be better understood through the historical experiences of its populace. Long before the availability of comprehensive official data, Chinese family genealogies are a valuable resource for reconstructing economic evolution over time, as the following shows.
