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Building Tall, Falling Short: An Empirical Assessment of Chinese Skyscrapers

Ziyang Chen, Ting Chen, Yatang Lin, Jin Wang, Jun 04, 2025

Amid debates around state-led urbanization in developing countries, we analyze the causes and consequences of China’s skyscraper boom. We find that local governments often subsidize these projects through discounted land prices, motivated by political incentives. However, we find that such subsidies offer minimal long-term benefits, largely due to a mismatch with local conditions.

Competitive Effects of China’s Listing Suspensions

Frank Packer, Mark M. Spiegel, Oct 28, 2020

China’s suspensions of initial public offerings (IPOs) provide a unique opportunity to evaluate the competitive effects of IPO activity on listed firms, as existing studies are challenged by the influence of market conditions on IPO timing. We evaluate the stock returns of listed firms on the Shanghai and Shenzhen exchanges over the three most recent suspensions. We confirm adverse effects on listed firms from IPOs, both from direct competition and from the creation of close asset substitutes. We also find that weaker firms are more exposed to the adverse effects of IPO listings.

Housing Wealth and Online Consumer Behavior: Evidence from the Xiong’an New Area in China

Hanming Fang, Long Wang, Yang Yang, Nov 16, 2022

We provide new evidence on the causal effects of housing wealth on consumer behavior.

Overpricing in Municipal Bond Markets and the Unintended Consequences of Regulatory Measures: Evidence from China

Laura Xiaolei Liu, Qiao Liu, Xiaoyu Liu, Ni Zhu, Dec 03, 2024

Chinese municipal bonds are considerably overpriced in the primary market, leading regulators to set a lower bound on the issuance yield spread. This paper investigates the underlying reasons for this overpricing and evaluates the effects of implementing restrictions on yield spreads. Our findings indicate that underwriters may inflate prices to receive undisclosed benefits from local governments, such as local treasury cash deposits. We further show that the lower bounds severely impede price discovery in the primary municipal bond market. Even bonds not restricted by the lower limit are priced at the reference spread, exacerbating overpricing of riskier bonds. Local governments exploit these fixed prices by increasing the bond issuance amount and extending bond maturity. Our findings suggest that regulatory interference in pricing can have unintended consequences for pricing efficiency and that attempts to rectify mispricing may result in even more severe mispricing.

Has COVID-19 permanently changed the nature of economic shocks on the Chinese economy?

Kaiji Chen, Patrick Higgins, Tao Zha, Apr 10, 2024

In latest study, Kaiji Chen and his colleagues at Emory University investigated the impact of COVID-19 on the Chinese economy. Through the construction of a GDP expenditure dataset and the application of SVAR modeling, they found that the constrained consumption shock during the pandemic significantly affected China's economy and may potentially alter its economic shock nature permanently.