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Structural Change and the Stability of Aggregate Employment in China
Wen Yao, Xiaodong Zhu, Oct 27, 2021In developed countries, aggregate employment has a strong positive correlation with aggregate output, and it is almost as volatile as output. In China, the correlation of aggregate employment and output is close to zero, and the volatility of aggregate employment is very low. We argue that the key to understanding the stability of aggregate employment in China is labor reallocation between the agricultural and non-agricultural sectors, and that the declining relative demand...
Anatomy of the CNH-CNY Peg: The Crucial Role of Liquidity Policies
Saleem Bahaj, Ricardo Reis, Jun 26, 2024This article discussing the changes in the exchange rate between the offshore yuan (CNH) and onshore yuan (CNY) help stabilize the CNY-US dollar exchange rate, but they also pose challenges to China's capital controls.
How House Prices Affected China’s Birth Rate Decline
Ziqian Liu, Yu Zhang, Nov 13, 2024The article discusses how house prices have affected China's birth rate and explores the implications for the country's housing market and demographic future.
Industrial Clusters, Networks, and Resilience of Firms to the Covid-19 Shock in China
Ruochen Dai, Dilip Mookherjee, Yingyue Quan, Xiaobo Zhang, Jan 06, 2021Both entry of new firms and performance of incumbents were less adversely affected by the Covid-19 shock in Chinese counties with a greater presence of industrial clusters. To explain these results, we find evidence of the role of two specific attributes of clusters: reliance on informal hometown-based entrepreneur networks and spatial proximity to suppliers and customers.
Does Spatial Misallocation in China’s Housing and Land Markets Drive Up Housing Prices?
Yongheng Deng, Yang Tang, Ping Wang, Jing Wu, Mar 23, 2022We documented pervasive spatial misallocations in the housing and land markets in China. We find larger cities with more competitive land markets and strict land supply restrictions have fewer subsidies in housing sales, and consequently a higher housing price compared to its frictionless benchmark. Removing frictions brings welfare gain because more individuals live in larger cities.
