A Bridge on Economic Issues between China and the World
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Industry/Policy View The Growth and Geography of RMB Trading
Yin-Wong Cheung, Robert N. McCauley, Chang Shu, Jan 08, 2020The 2019 Bank for International Settlements Triennial Foreign Exchange Survey reveals two different trends in RMB trading in 2016–2019 compared to the previous three year interval—a slowdown both in growth and in geographic diffusion. Regarding the first trend, we argue the rapid growth of RMB trading into 2014 relied on a gradual appreciation trend that encouraged a one-sided RMB internationalization. Global trading in RMB resumed its growth in 2017...
Industry/Policy View Banking Across Borders: Are Chinese Banks Different?
Eugenio Cerutti, Cathérine Koch, Swapan-Kumar Pradhan, Feb 24, 2021Chinese banks have become the largest cross-border lenders to emerging markets and developing economies (EMDEs). Despite their different ownership structure, their type of global reach resembles that of advanced economies’ (AE) banks, with distance to their borrowing EMDEs less of a barrier than that of other EMDE banks and more like U.S. or European banks. While bilateral trade, FDI, and portfolio investment...
Book Synopsis New Cycle or Old (Guaranteed) Bubble?
Ning Zhu, Oct 04, 2017It seems necessary that one gains some deeper understanding of the sources of China’s phenomenal economic growth. Apart from all well-founded extant explanations, my recent book Guaranteed Bubble argues for another important yet previously overlooked source: the guarantees provided by the Chinese government.
Shadow Banking: China’s Dual-Track Interest Rate Liberalization
Hao Wang, Honglin Wang, Lisheng Wang, Hao Zhou, Jul 26, 2017Professors Hao Wang and Hao Zhou, both of Tsinghua University, Honglin Wang formerly of Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research (HKIMR) and Lisheng Wang of Chinese University of Hong Kong, argue that the shadow banking explosion in China may constitute a dual-track reform mechanism to liberalize the country's rigid interest rate policy.
Local Government Implicit Debt and the Pricing of LGFV Bonds
Laura Xiaolei Liu, Yuanzhen Lyu, Fan Yu, Jun 22, 2022To examine the implicit guarantee provided by Chinese local governments to local government financing vehicles (LGFV), we create a proxy for local governments’ implicit debt ratio and find it correlated with the credit spread of LGFV bonds.
