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Industry/Policy View How Does Monetary Policy Affect the Asset Management Industry? Evidence from China’s Fund Managers
John Ammer, John Rogers, Gang Wang, Yang Yu, Jul 15, 2020We conduct a novel systematic textual analysis of the discussion in the quarterly reports of China fund managers, from which we infer their near-term expectations for Chinese monetary policy. We show that this aggregate index of manager expectations performs well as a forecast of Chinese monetary policy, that fund managers act on these expectations, and that correctly anticipating shifts in policy improves fund...
The Impact of Hybrid Working on Employee Retention and Performance
Nicholas Bloom, Ruobing Han, James Liang, Aug 21, 2024This article discusses that a flexible hybrid working arrangement significantly enhances job satisfaction and employee retention rates without compromising performance and promotion.
Capital Regulations, Bank Risk-Taking, and Monetary Policy in China
Xiaoming Li, Zheng Liu, Yuchao Peng, Zhiwei Xu, Nov 18, 2020China implemented Basel III in 2013 and tightened bank capital regulations. Empirical evidence shows that the new regulations significantly reduced bank risk-taking following monetary policy easing. To meet the tightened capital requirements, banks respond to a balance-sheet expansion by raising the share of lending to state-owned enterprises (SOEs) that are perceived as low-risk borrowers under government...
A New Perspective on China’s Credit Boom
Kinda Hachem, Michael Zheng Song, Jun 20, 2017What caused the enormous credit boom in China? This column by Kinda Hachem and Michael Song offers an unexpected explanation of stricter liquidity regulations on banks leading to a credit boom through competition between small and big banks and their heavy use of shadow banking investment instruments.
Credit Expansion and Allocation Dynamics under Economic Stimulus
Lin William Cong, Jacopo Ponticelli, Sep 13, 2017We study credit allocation across firms and its real effects during China’s economic stimulus plan of 2009-2010 using loan-level data from the 19 largest Chinese banks matched with firm-level data on manufacturing firms. We find that the stimulus-driven credit expansion significantly affected firm borrowing, investment, and employment. The plan disproportionately favored state-owned firms and firms with a lower marginal product of capital, reversing the process of capital reallocation that characterized China’s high growth before 2008.
