A Bridge on Economic Issues between China and the World
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Production Networks and Firm Value: Evidence from the US-China Trade War
Yi Huang, Chen Lin, Sibo Liu, Heiwai Tang, Mar 25, 2020This paper discusses the effects on the financial markets of the several rounds of tariff hikes during the 2018–19 US-China trade war. It illustrates that US firms that are more dependent on exports to and imports from China have lower stock prices around the announcement date, while the expectation of weakened Chinese import competition due to US tariffs plays an economically minimal role. Firms with indirect exposure to US-China trade through domestic supply chains also...
The Burden of Education Costs in China: A Struggle for All, but Heavier for Lower-Income Families
Dezhuang Hu, Hongbin Li, Tang Li, Lingsheng Meng, Binh Thai Nguyen, Mar 27, 2024Household education expenditure in China accounts for a substantial portion of household income, averaging around 17.1%, and it is inversely related to household income. As a necessity, education expenditure imposes excessively high costs on lower-income families. China needs to formulate policies to alleviate the financial burden on families, reform the school system, and enhance educational equity.
Industry/Policy View How Does Monetary Policy Affect the Asset Management Industry? Evidence from China’s Fund Managers
John Ammer, John Rogers, Gang Wang, Yang Yu, Jul 15, 2020We conduct a novel systematic textual analysis of the discussion in the quarterly reports of China fund managers, from which we infer their near-term expectations for Chinese monetary policy. We show that this aggregate index of manager expectations performs well as a forecast of Chinese monetary policy, that fund managers act on these expectations, and that correctly anticipating shifts in policy improves fund...
Brain Drain: The Impact of Air Pollution on Firm Performance
Shuyu Xue, Bohui Zhang, Xiaofeng Zhao, Feb 12, 2020By exploiting the exogenous variation in air pollution caused by China’s central heating policy, we find that air pollution reduces the accumulation of executive talent and high-quality employees. We also find that firms located in polluted areas have poorer performance, especially for firms with greater dependence on human capital.
Dollar Funding Stresses in China
Laura Kodres, Leslie Sheng Shen, Darrell Duffie, Jul 13, 2022The need for US dollar funding during the financial stresses of March 2020, as the COVID-19 pandemic shocked markets, was evident in a number of countries (Avdjiev, Eren, and McGuire 2020; Bahaj and Reis 2020).
