A Bridge on Economic Issues between China and the World
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No Winners but Only Losers in the China-US Trade War
Marlene Amstad, Leonardo Gambacorta, Chao He, Dora Xia, Mar 31, 2021Trade tensions between China and the United States have played an important role in swinging global stock markets, but the effects are difficult to quantify. Using a comprehensive database constructed by Wisers, we develop a novel trade sentiment index (TSI) based on textual analysis that assesses the positive or negative tone of Chinese media coverage of the China-US trade situation and evaluates the TSI’s capacity to...
Overpricing in China’s Corporate Bond Market
Yi Ding, Wei Xiong, Jinfan Zhang, Nov 27, 2019In China’s corporate bond market, the yield spread of newly issued bonds at their first secondary-market trade is on average 5.35 bps higher than the issuance spread. This overpricing is robust across bond issuances with different credit ratings, maturities, issuance types, and issuer status. Evidence suggests that competition among underwriters drives this overpricing through two specific channels—either through rebates to participants in issuance auctions or through direct auction bidding by the underwriters for themselves or their clients.
Physician-Induced Demand: Evidence from China’s Drug Price Zero-Markup Policy
Hanming Fang, Xiaoyan Lei, Julie Shi, Xuejie Yi, Aug 11, 2021We exploit the staggered rollout of China’s drug price zero-markup policy (ZMP) to study physician-induced demand in healthcare. Our results show that the drug expenses in the treatment hospitals dropped by 63 log points (47 percent) compared with those of the control group; however, the expenses for non-drug services were 28 log points (32 percent) higher in the treatment group than in the control group. Our results provide robust evidence for physician-induced demand.
The Data Privacy Paradox of Alipay Users
Long Chen, Yadong Huang, Shumiao Ouyang, Wei Xiong, Jul 07, 2021We find that there is no relationship between the self-stated privacy concerns of a sample of Alipay users and their number of data-sharing authorizations with third-party mini-programs on Alipay. We explain this data privacy paradox by a curious finding that users with stronger privacy concerns tend to benefit more from using mini-programs, which further suggests that consumers may develop data privacy concerns as a by-product of the process of using digital applications, not because such concerns are innate.
The Impact of Rural-Urban Migration on House Prices in China
Carlos Garriga, Aaron Hedlund, Yang Tang, Ping Wang, Jan 27, 2021Rural-urban migration is an integral part of the dynamic process of structural transformation. The interplay between population inflows and house prices depends on various geographical differences in the economic and policy climate. In the case of China, we highlight particularly the roles played by location-specific hukou restrictions and local land supply.
