A Bridge on Economic Issues between China and the World
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US–China Tensions
John Rogers, Bo Sun, Chris Webster, Apr 28, 2021We construct a US–China Tensions index (UCT) and examine its economic transmission effects. The index spikes notably around the 2008 unrest in Tibet and the China military buildup, the 2018 arrest of a Huawei executive, and the 2018–2019 trade disputes. The index reaches its peak at the onset of the 2020 global pandemic. We interpret such tension as reflecting both the realization of new barriers between the two countries and the risk of existing barriers escalating. We show that heightened US–China Tension has adverse economic effects...
Industrial Land Discount in China: A Public Finance Perspective
Zhiguo He, Scott Nelson, Yang Su, Anthony Lee Zhang, Fudong Zhang, Jul 25, 2022Local governments, which serve as monopolistic land sellers in China, face a trade-off when deciding to supply residential land versus industrial land. This trade-off is determined by the different time profiles of revenues from industrial and residential land sales, local governments’ financial constraints, and the extent of local governments’ tax revenue sharing with other levels of government.
How Do Earthquakes Shape Economic Behavior?
Kevin Chen, Mateusz Filipski, Xiaobo Zhang, Oct 30, 2019Research shows how a disaster can impact an economy beyond the simple rebuilding process. The Sichuan earthquake induced a lifestyle shift in households toward greater spending and a structural shift of the economy away from industrial production.
Industry/Policy View How Does Monetary Policy Affect the Asset Management Industry? Evidence from China’s Fund Managers
John Ammer, John Rogers, Gang Wang, Yang Yu, Jul 15, 2020We conduct a novel systematic textual analysis of the discussion in the quarterly reports of China fund managers, from which we infer their near-term expectations for Chinese monetary policy. We show that this aggregate index of manager expectations performs well as a forecast of Chinese monetary policy, that fund managers act on these expectations, and that correctly anticipating shifts in policy improves fund...
From Wall Street to Hong Kong:The Value of Dual Listing for China Concept Stocks
Zhuo Chen, Grace Xing Hu, Ziqiong Xi, Xiaoquan Zhu, Mar 22, 2023The recent cross-border regulation tensions between the US and China have exposed many US-listed China Concepts Stocks to substantial delisting risks, forcing them to pursue dual listings on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.
