Most Popular

Dollar Funding Stresses in China

Laura Kodres, Leslie Sheng Shen, Darrell Duffie, Jul 13, 2022

The need for US dollar funding during the financial stresses of March 2020, as the COVID-19 pandemic shocked markets, was evident in a number of countries (Avdjiev, Eren, and McGuire 2020; Bahaj and Reis 2020).

Mortgage Prepayment in China

Zhenyu Gao, Wenxi Jiang, Haohan Ren, Kemin Wang, Yuezhi Wu, Sep 10, 2025

During the 2019–2024 monetary easing cycle, Chinese households used their savings to prepay unprecedented amounts of mortgage loans. Because refinancing was restricted, mortgage rates remained rigid, while savings returns quickly adjusted to rate cuts. The widening gap between borrowing costs and savings returns encouraged prepayment (deleveraging) and reduced consumption. Our findings suggest that the rigid mortgage rates have rendered China’s monetary easing counterproductive.

Regional Variation of GDP per Head within China, 1080–1850: Implications for the Great Divergence Debate

Stephen Broadberry, Hanhui Guan, Sep 28, 2022

We provide the first regional breakdown of GDP per head for China from the Song dynasty to the Qing, so that regions of similar size can be compared between Europe and Asia to establish the timing of the Great Divergence of living standards.

Production Networks and Firm Value: Evidence from the US-China Trade War

Yi Huang, Chen Lin, Sibo Liu, Heiwai Tang, Mar 25, 2020

This paper discusses the effects on the financial markets of the several rounds of tariff hikes during the 2018–19 US-China trade war. It illustrates that US firms that are more dependent on exports to and imports from China have lower stock prices around the announcement date, while the expectation of weakened Chinese import competition due to US tariffs plays an economically minimal role. Firms with indirect exposure to US-China trade through domestic supply chains also...

Industry/Policy View Derisking Real Estate in China’s Hybrid Economy

Wei Xiong, Jun 28, 2023

We investigate the relationship between the allocation of government subsidies and total factor productivity for Chinese listed firms.