A Bridge on Economic Issues between China and the World
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Book Synopsis Invisible China: Hundreds of Millions of Rural Underemployed May Slow China’s Growth
Scott Rozelle, Natalie Hell, Jun 02, 2021Ｎo assessment of China's growth is complete without considering the implications of having hundreds of millions of underemployed people in China's economy for the foreseeable future. The bottom line is that China needs to build on its recent efforts to boost rural education, health and nutrition, and early childhood development, and do so at a pace and intensity that recognizes these are potentially among the biggest problems the nation faces.
Industry/Policy View The Growth and Geography of RMB Trading
Yin-Wong Cheung, Robert N. McCauley, Chang Shu, Jan 08, 2020The 2019 Bank for International Settlements Triennial Foreign Exchange Survey reveals two different trends in RMB trading in 2016–2019 compared to the previous three year interval—a slowdown both in growth and in geographic diffusion. Regarding the first trend, we argue the rapid growth of RMB trading into 2014 relied on a gradual appreciation trend that encouraged a one-sided RMB internationalization. Global trading in RMB resumed its growth in 2017...
Equilibrium Consequences of Corruption on Firms: Evidence from China’s Anti-Corruption Campaign
Haoyuan Ding, Hanming Fang, Shu Lin, Kang Shi, Aug 23, 2017The announcement on May 17, 2013 that CPC’s Central Commission for Discipline Inspection (CCDI) would start to conduct several rounds of inspections of provincial governments, may serve as a rare natural experiment to examine the equilibrium consequences of corruption on firms. Professors Haoyuan Ding of Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, Hanming Fang of the University of Pennsylvania, and Shu Lin and Kang Shi, both of The Chinese University of Hong Kong exploit event studies to show that the stock market overall reacted positively to the CCDI announcement, and they also show that there is interesting heterogeneity across firms in their reactions to the news. They argue that the CCDI announcement on May 17, 2013 has likely triggered an expectation of norms change of bureaucratic behavior.
Industry/Policy View Derisking Real Estate in China’s Hybrid Economy
Wei Xiong, Jun 28, 2023We investigate the relationship between the allocation of government subsidies and total factor productivity for Chinese listed firms.
Economic Growth — in the World and in China
Robert J. Barro, Jul 12, 2017Convergence forces suggest that China’s per capita GDP growth rate will decline gradually from around 7% per year to the world’s historical average of 2%. In the past, this convergence tendency was more than offset by China’s opening to markets, improved legal institutions and business regulations, increased investment rates, higher life expectancy, and reduced fertility—but the convergence force will ultimately dominate.
